MSU Northwestern

The 5-1 Spartans take on the 5-0 Wildcats today in what should prove to be an exciting game.  For my money CJ bacher, as far as a QB knowing and running a system, is the best in the B10.  He is accurate, quick thinking, and doesn't get sacked.  This is the typical game that bites the Spartans for 3 reasons.

1. That stupid spread.  To stop short slants and screens from going for big yardage solid tackling is the key.  If the first defender misses a tackle things get ugly.  This should be a good test for the much heralded linebacking corps.

2. Ohio State and Michigan loom.  Looking ahead has always been a problem.  Win the games you shouldn't (OSU, UM) lose the ones you shouldn't (NU, Iowa, Ill).

3. Coming out flat.  Against an offense like NU a slow start can mean being down 21-0 in a hurry.  When that happens the identity of this MSU team becomes less pronounced; down 3 scores the running game becomes less useful.

Add the very talented RB Sutton to the mix and NU is tough and real.

3 reasons MSU can win:

1. Javon Ringer is the best back NU has seen.  Although NU is only allowing 111 rushing yards per game Ringer is coming off a game with only 25 carries so he should be fresh.  The defense is also helped by an offense that can score quickly and often.  Teams are forced to abandon the run early.  That should not happen today.

2. The DB's are [somewhat] healthy.  The recent injuries to defensive backs and safeties may prove to be a blessing as MSU now has depth.  Should something go wrong, someone blow assignments, etc Dantonio has alternatives.

3. The linebackers are faster and stronger and the DE's contain.  Again, tackling is king against NU.  Jones, Decker, and Gordon (perhaps Misch, should he see the field) are all quick and athletic.  Although the DE's are not getting nearly as much pressure this season it may work to the Spartans favor today.  Upfield over-pursuit is a waste of energy against screens and draws.  Playing a contain and staying active near the line are key.

I hated this game all week.  I don't like the prospect of Sutton running wild and Bacher scoring 21 in the first half, picking apart the improved but underwhelming secondary.  I feel better about the game today.  The defensive line needs to pressure and hit Bacher often, tip short passes at the line, and recover the fumble I predict will come from a running back.  Wiley and Jones should have plenty of chances to catch tipped balls or jump routes.  Ringer should bust a few runs of 30+.  Hoyer should be able to pick his spots and hold on to the ball.

MSU - 28

NU - 24